Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Greene 44.7% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Greene leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Greene 62.4%
Defensive zone
Greene 83.0%
Neutral zone
Greene 82.4%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Toews
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Toews
Greene
Last 10: Toews 3-7 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Greene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
3
5
Toews
Greene
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
0
3
Toews
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
43.7% (524)
+13.5%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
47.5% (59)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
43.6% (149)
+10.0%
On power play, Toews has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Greene is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Toews
Greene
Home
59.7% (9,192)
47.4% (382)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Toews
Greene
P1
58.6%
46.4%
P2
57.8%
38.9%
P3
57.3%
47.0%
OT
58.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |