Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Johansen 52.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 52.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 77.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 64.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Toews
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Toews
Johansen
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
7
Toews
Johansen
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
49.4% (1,010)
+8.6%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
62.3% (236)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
67.2% (67)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Toews
Johansen
Home
59.3% (637)
54.7% (655)
Away
58.7% (699)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Toews
Johansen
P1
61.5%
52.2%
P2
55.2%
50.7%
P3
60.0%
54.8%
OT
70.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |