Jonathan Toews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 77.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 73.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
63.4% (555)
47.6% (189)
+15.8%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
100.0% (2)
-45.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
29.4% (17)
+17.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Toews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.6% (329)
48.5% (132)
Away
62.7% (365)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
62.2%
51.4%
P2
64.7%
41.3%
P3
56.8%
48.5%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
61.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |