Jonathan Toews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 74.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 72.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
47.6% (231)
+14.9%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
83.3% (12)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
33.3% (21)
+13.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
60.9% (435)
51.2% (164)
Away
62.0% (434)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
59.8%
50.0%
P2
65.7%
46.2%
P3
58.8%
49.5%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |