Jonathan Toews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 83.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 60.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 68.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Toews 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
52.1% (351)
+3.8%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
57.1% (14)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
35.9% (39)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Toews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.6% (709)
50.0% (198)
Away
58.0% (785)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.4%
52.1%
P2
57.6%
48.8%
P3
54.3%
50.4%
OT
59.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |