Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Koivu 50.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 97.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 72.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Toews
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Toews
Koivu
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
1
Toews
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
50.4% (912)
+5.5%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
59.1% (44)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
46.8% (111)
+1.7%
On power play, Toews has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Toews shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Toews
Koivu
Home
61.7% (810)
51.5% (610)
Away
52.3% (734)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Toews
Koivu
P1
56.0%
48.5%
P2
56.9%
51.5%
P3
59.3%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2014 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | OT | 03:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |