Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 24 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 43-25 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 98.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 76.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Toews
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
25
(68 meetings)
43
25
Toews
Koivu
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
19
5
Toews
Koivu
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
9
14
Toews
Koivu
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
15
6
Toews
Koivu
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
51.9% (3,221)
+5.3%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
59.3% (437)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
48.0% (764)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Toews
Koivu
Home
59.7% (9,192)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Toews
Koivu
P1
58.6%
51.1%
P2
57.8%
52.6%
P3
57.3%
51.8%
OT
58.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2014 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | OT | 03:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |