Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Bennett 47.3% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 91.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 90.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Toews
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toews
Bennett
Last 5: Toews 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
48.2% (766)
+12.9%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
45.1% (82)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
33.9% (56)
+25.7%
On power play, Toews has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Toews
Bennett
Home
64.8% (560)
49.1% (458)
Away
60.6% (381)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Toews
Bennett
P1
62.3%
47.9%
P2
63.9%
47.2%
P3
62.8%
46.4%
OT
70.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |