Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Laughton 56.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 91.9%
Defensive zone
Laughton 71.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 74.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Toews
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Toews
Laughton
Last 8: Toews 5-3 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Laughton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Toews
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Laughton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
55.2% (455)
+7.3%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
75.0% (4)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
62.8% (137)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Laughton is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Toews
Laughton
Home
60.9% (435)
57.4% (263)
Away
62.0% (434)
56.8% (333)
By Period
Toews
Laughton
P1
59.8%
55.3%
P2
65.7%
61.4%
P3
58.8%
53.5%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |