Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Toews wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Couturier 58.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 53.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 52.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 50.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Toews
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Toews
Couturier
Last 10: Toews 2-8 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
Toews
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
7
Toews
Couturier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
60.1% (669)
-4.2%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
60.9% (133)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
55.1% (107)
+0.8%
On even strength, Couturier has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Toews shoots left. Couturier is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Toews
Couturier
Home
56.6% (709)
59.9% (484)
Away
58.0% (785)
59.3% (425)
By Period
Toews
Couturier
P1
60.4%
61.8%
P2
57.6%
57.4%
P3
54.3%
59.5%
OT
59.4%
68.8%
Final 5 min
58.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.3%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |