Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Couturier 54.5% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 54.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 54.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Toews
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
57.4% (303)
+0.6%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
65.5% (55)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
40.0% (70)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Toews
Couturier
Home
59.3% (637)
54.3% (219)
Away
58.7% (699)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Toews
Couturier
P1
61.5%
53.2%
P2
55.2%
54.8%
P3
60.0%
57.9%
OT
70.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%