Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Thompson 45.3% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 91.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 92.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Toews
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Toews
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
44.9% (642)
+17.6%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
47.9% (94)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
33.3% (33)
+13.6%
On even strength, Toews has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Toews
Thompson
Home
60.9% (435)
46.0% (391)
Away
62.0% (434)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Toews
Thompson
P1
59.8%
48.1%
P2
65.7%
44.9%
P3
58.8%
41.2%
OT
80.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |