Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Thompson 41.2% (+18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 83.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 85.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Toews
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Toews
Thompson
Last 6: Toews 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
40.6% (801)
+17.4%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
44.7% (103)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
31.0% (71)
+20.7%
On power play, Toews has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Toews
Thompson
Home
59.3% (637)
43.2% (507)
Away
58.7% (699)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Toews
Thompson
P1
61.5%
37.7%
P2
55.2%
43.4%
P3
60.0%
39.5%
OT
70.6%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |