Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brent on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Brent 50.7% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brent 72.3%
Defensive zone
Brent 88.4%
Neutral zone
Brent 83.6%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Toews
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Toews
Brent
Last 9: Toews 2-7 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Brent
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
5
Toews
Brent
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Brent
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
50.2% (1,234)
+7.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
58.2% (91)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
51.7% (267)
+1.9%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Brent is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Home / Away
Toews
Brent
Home
59.7% (9,192)
51.6% (779)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
50.0% (820)
By Period
Toews
Brent
P1
58.6%
54.2%
P2
57.8%
49.3%
P3
57.3%
48.8%
OT
58.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Tim Brent |