Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.2% vs Washe 55.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 96.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 57.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Toews
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Washe
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Washe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (692)
60.9% (207)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
100.0% (3)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
41.7% (48)
+5.2%
On power play, Washe has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Toews is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Toews shoots left. Washe is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Toews
Washe
Home
60.9% (435)
63.3% (120)
Away
61.8% (424)
52.9% (138)
By Period
Toews
Washe
P1
60.2%
60.2%
P2
65.7%
61.0%
P3
58.2%
53.6%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Washe
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |