Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.9% vs 57.1%). Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Washe 55.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 95.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 53.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 74.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Toews
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Washe
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Washe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
59.8% (224)
-2.6%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
100.0% (3)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
41.7% (48)
+11.9%
On power play, Washe has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Washe is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Toews
Washe
Home
59.7% (9,192)
62.0% (129)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
52.7% (146)
By Period
Toews
Washe
P1
58.6%
59.6%
P2
57.8%
59.3%
P3
57.3%
53.8%
OT
58.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Washe
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |