Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Zajac 54.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 65.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 52.8%
Neutral zone
Zajac 52.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Toews
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Toews
Zajac
Last 9: Toews 6-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Toews
Zajac
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
53.9% (958)
+1.7%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
67.1% (146)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
52.5% (139)
+4.9%
On power play, Zajac has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Toews shoots left. Zajac is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Toews
Zajac
Home
59.8% (858)
55.5% (627)
Away
53.3% (795)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Toews
Zajac
P1
58.7%
51.7%
P2
55.1%
58.5%
P3
56.5%
56.0%
OT
54.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |