Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 44 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Zajac 54.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 79-53 in 132 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 89.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 63.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 73.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Toews
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
79
-
53
(132 meetings)
79
53
Toews
Zajac
Last 10: Toews 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
36
8
Toews
Zajac
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
15
25
Toews
Zajac
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
28
20
Toews
Zajac
48 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
54.4% (9,056)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
59.1% (1,498)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
48.6% (1,599)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Toews
Zajac
Home
59.7% (9,192)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Toews
Zajac
P1
58.6%
53.8%
P2
57.8%
55.6%
P3
57.3%
53.6%
OT
58.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |