Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 55 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 78-45 in 123 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 89.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Toews
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
78
-
45
(123 meetings)
78
45
Toews
Bozak
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
38
17
Toews
Bozak
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
22
18
Toews
Bozak
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
18
10
Toews
Bozak
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
53.7% (9,596)
+3.5%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
55.2% (1,990)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
48.0% (1,094)
+5.6%
On power play, Toews has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Toews
Bozak
Home
59.7% (9,192)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Toews
Bozak
P1
58.6%
53.2%
P2
57.8%
52.8%
P3
57.3%
54.5%
OT
58.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
58.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |