Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 92.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 89.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Toews
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Toews
Bozak
Last 8: Toews 6-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
46.7% (338)
+11.3%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
50.0% (6)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
32.6% (43)
+19.1%
On power play, Toews has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Toews
Bozak
Home
59.3% (637)
47.9% (194)
Away
58.7% (699)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Toews
Bozak
P1
61.5%
40.2%
P2
55.2%
51.4%
P3
60.0%
43.1%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |