Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Bozak 53.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 78.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 67.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Toews
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
6
(24 meetings)
18
6
Toews
Bozak
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
3
Toews
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
2
Toews
Bozak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
1
Toews
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
55.4% (719)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
45.1% (51)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
50.0% (60)
+1.0%
On power play, Toews has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Toews shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Toews
Bozak
Home
56.6% (927)
55.5% (443)
Away
56.0% (953)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Toews
Bozak
P1
56.3%
53.3%
P2
55.8%
54.7%
P3
57.3%
55.4%
OT
48.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | OT | 04:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |