Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Bozak 54.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 86.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 72.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Toews
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Toews
Bozak
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
3
Toews
Bozak
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
57.3% (483)
-1.4%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
57.5% (73)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
42.3% (104)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Toews is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (591).
Toews shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Toews
Bozak
Home
56.6% (709)
57.8% (332)
Away
58.0% (785)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Toews
Bozak
P1
60.4%
52.7%
P2
57.6%
55.6%
P3
54.3%
56.7%
OT
59.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |