Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Johnson 48.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 91.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 88.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 91.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Toews
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Toews
Johnson
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
49.4% (399)
+7.1%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
52.9% (34)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
37.5% (40)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Toews shoots left. Johnson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Toews
Johnson
Home
56.6% (927)
49.8% (229)
Away
56.0% (953)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Toews
Johnson
P1
56.3%
45.0%
P2
55.8%
49.1%
P3
57.3%
50.3%
OT
48.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |