Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Johnson 50.7% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 61.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 76.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Toews
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
47.4% (78)
+13.7%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
57.6% (33)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
100.0% (2)
-40.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Toews
Johnson
Home
64.8% (560)
50.9% (57)
Away
60.6% (381)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Toews
Johnson
P1
62.3%
44.1%
P2
63.9%
59.4%
P3
62.8%
52.3%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%