Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Smith 49.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 97.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 80.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Toews
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Toews
Smith
Last 10: Toews 9-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
0
Toews
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Toews
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
6
2
Toews
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
50.9% (666)
+5.6%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
70.0% (10)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
39.6% (144)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Toews shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Toews
Smith
Home
56.6% (927)
50.9% (405)
Away
56.0% (953)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Toews
Smith
P1
56.3%
47.1%
P2
55.8%
49.6%
P3
57.3%
50.4%
OT
48.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |