Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 29-21 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 94.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 72.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Toews
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
21
(50 meetings)
29
21
Toews
Smith
Last 10: Toews 9-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
14
3
Toews
Smith
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
11
Toews
Smith
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
12
7
Toews
Smith
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
51.6% (5,265)
+5.6%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
51.2% (342)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
45.3% (985)
+8.3%
On power play, Toews has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Toews
Smith
Home
59.7% (9,192)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Toews
Smith
P1
58.6%
49.9%
P2
57.8%
50.0%
P3
57.3%
51.9%
OT
58.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
58.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |