Jonathan Toews vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 82.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 77.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 51.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Toews
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Toews
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Toews
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
43.2% (146)
+19.3%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
50.0% (2)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
44.8% (29)
+2.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Toews
Girgensons
Home
60.9% (435)
40.3% (72)
Away
62.0% (434)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Toews
Girgensons
P1
59.8%
43.8%
P2
65.7%
44.6%
P3
58.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |