Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodzinski 50.1% vs Monahan 54.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 61.2%
Defensive zone
Brodzinski 54.6%
Neutral zone
Brodzinski 57.1%
Result
Jonny Brodzinski favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Brodzinski
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brodzinski
Monahan
Last 6: Brodzinski 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
2
0
Brodzinski
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Brodzinski
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Brodzinski
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodzinski
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (293)
57.1% (871)
-8.3%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
53.1% (262)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.6% (139)
+55.4%
On penalty kill, Brodzinski has a +55.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Brodzinski is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Brodzinski shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Brodzinski
Monahan
Home
54.2% (144)
55.3% (644)
Away
46.9% (179)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Brodzinski
Monahan
P1
49.5%
53.9%
P2
45.5%
55.3%
P3
55.8%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |