Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 48.0% vs Dowd 49.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eberle 75.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.6%
Result
Jordan Eberle favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Eberle
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eberle
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eberle
1
0
Eberle
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (26)
51.7% (644)
-13.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
On power play, Eberle has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eberle is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Eberle shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Eberle
Dowd
Home
28.6% (14)
48.6% (451)
Away
53.8% (13)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Eberle
Dowd
P1
38.5%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
47.3%
P3
25.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
40.0%▼
42.0%
40.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |