Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Greenway wins 28.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greenway 42.7% vs Carlsson 37.1% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 58.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 66.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Greenway
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greenway
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
30.8% (39)
34.4% (535)
-3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.9% (21)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
40.0% (5)
-10.6%
On power play, Carlsson has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Greenway is 28.9% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Greenway shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Greenway
Carlsson
Home
31.6% (38)
38.6% (254)
Away
26.3% (19)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Greenway
Carlsson
P1
25.0%
35.9%
P2
33.3%
33.8%
P3
31.3%
34.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
12.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greenway
26.0%▼
30.5%
29.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%