Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Martinook wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 45.4% vs Hayes 49.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 57.4%
Defensive zone
Martinook 54.4%
Neutral zone
Martinook 60.0%
Result
Jordan Martinook favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Martinook
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Martinook
Hayes
Last 6: Martinook 2-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Martinook
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Martinook
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Martinook
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (249)
50.5% (764)
-3.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
53.3% (90)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (84)
38.6% (127)
-4.1%
On power play, Hayes has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Martinook is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Martinook shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Martinook
Hayes
Home
42.5% (160)
49.0% (531)
Away
45.3% (181)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Martinook
Hayes
P1
45.2%
52.3%
P2
46.4%
45.8%
P3
40.4%
50.2%
Final 5 min
42.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |