Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Martinook wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 48.0% vs Hayes 49.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 64.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 63.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Martinook
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Martinook
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
0
Martinook
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (57)
48.5% (557)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
58.3% (12)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Martinook is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Martinook shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Martinook
Hayes
Home
45.9% (37)
50.8% (313)
Away
44.1% (34)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Martinook
Hayes
P1
40.0%
52.3%
P2
51.7%
47.7%
P3
40.9%
48.4%
Final 5 min
42.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |