Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Martinook on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Martinook wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 45.5% vs Eller 50.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Martinook leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 60.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 66.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Martinook
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Martinook
Eller
Last 10: Martinook 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
3
1
Martinook
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Martinook
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Martinook
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,686)
51.0% (10,168)
-4.3%
Power Play
41.3% (63)
52.8% (621)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (403)
46.7% (1,740)
-7.0%
On power play, Eller has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Martinook is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Martinook shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,010).
Home / Away
Martinook
Eller
Home
46.8% (1,068)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
43.7% (1,084)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
Martinook
Eller
P1
45.1%
51.2%
P2
47.7%
50.0%
P3
43.0%
50.2%
OT
38.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
48.0%▬
48.0%
45.3%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2020 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |