Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Martinook wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 44.9% vs Hertl 51.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 63.2%
Defensive zone
Martinook 76.1%
Neutral zone
Martinook 67.2%
Result
Jordan Martinook favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Martinook
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Martinook
Hertl
Last 9: Martinook 3-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Martinook
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
2
0
Martinook
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Martinook
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (818)
50.4% (367)
-5.8%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
64.6% (48)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (185)
49.2% (59)
-6.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Martinook is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Martinook shoots left. Hertl is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Martinook
Hertl
Home
48.1% (561)
50.9% (220)
Away
39.9% (476)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Martinook
Hertl
P1
46.6%
52.7%
P2
46.4%
52.8%
P3
40.6%
49.7%
OT
38.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |