Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Martinook wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 48.0% vs Hertl 54.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Martinook
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Martinook
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
0
Martinook
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Martinook
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (57)
54.1% (1,117)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
34.4% (32)
+1.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Martinook is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Martinook shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Martinook
Hertl
Home
45.9% (37)
54.3% (709)
Away
44.1% (34)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Martinook
Hertl
P1
40.0%
51.6%
P2
51.7%
53.6%
P3
40.9%
58.6%
Final 5 min
42.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |