Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schroeder wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schroeder 46.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schroeder 72.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.6%
Neutral zone
Schroeder 55.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Schroeder
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Schroeder
Eller
Last 7: Schroeder 3-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Schroeder
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Schroeder
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schroeder
2
0
Schroeder
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schroeder
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (603)
51.1% (10,296)
-4.5%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
52.8% (621)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.7% (1,751)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schroeder is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Schroeder shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Schroeder
Eller
Home
43.0% (251)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.3% (420)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Schroeder
Eller
P1
47.8%
51.2%
P2
44.9%
50.1%
P3
45.9%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
46.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |