Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 43.9%). Look for Schroeder on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schroeder 45.1% vs Gagner 44.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schroeder 68.7%
Defensive zone
Schroeder 63.6%
Neutral zone
Schroeder 65.3%
Result
Jordan Schroeder favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Schroeder
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Schroeder
Gagner
Last 9: Schroeder 8-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
4
0
Schroeder
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
2
0
Schroeder
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schroeder
2
1
Schroeder
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schroeder
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (280)
42.1% (575)
+1.1%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
55.3% (123)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
34.9% (43)
-34.9%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Schroeder is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Schroeder shoots right. Gagner is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Schroeder
Gagner
Home
41.2% (136)
45.6% (375)
Away
45.4% (185)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Schroeder
Gagner
P1
51.1%
40.1%
P2
39.7%
42.2%
P3
40.5%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
40.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 4, 2013 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |