Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 45.9%). Look for Schroeder on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Schroeder wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schroeder 46.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Schroeder leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 50.7%
Defensive zone
Schroeder 52.8%
Neutral zone
Schroeder 53.1%
Result
Jordan Schroeder favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Schroeder
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Schroeder
Gagner
Last 10: Schroeder 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
4
2
Schroeder
Gagner
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
2
1
Schroeder
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schroeder
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schroeder
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (603)
45.4% (4,699)
+1.2%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
51.5% (928)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
35.0% (226)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Schroeder is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Schroeder shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Schroeder
Gagner
Home
43.0% (251)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
48.3% (420)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Schroeder
Gagner
P1
47.8%
44.6%
P2
44.9%
46.1%
P3
45.9%
47.3%
OT
100.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
46.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 4, 2013 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |