Alexander Kerfoot vs Jordan Staal
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Staal 57.6% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 67.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 62.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Kerfoot
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kerfoot
Staal
Last 9: Kerfoot 3-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
0
Kerfoot
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Kerfoot
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Kerfoot
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
58.9% (1,096)
-8.5%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
68.4% (57)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
51.8% (222)
-12.6%
On power play, Staal has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Staal
Home
51.4% (467)
57.0% (646)
Away
43.5% (395)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Kerfoot
Staal
P1
49.1%
55.9%
P2
42.4%
55.4%
P3
52.7%
62.0%
OT
25.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |