Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.7%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Staal 55.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 57.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kopitar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Kopitar
Staal
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Kopitar
Staal
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
7
Kopitar
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Kopitar
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
56.3% (1,115)
+0.1%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
61.2% (67)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
52.1% (292)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Staal
Home
56.3% (783)
58.3% (705)
Away
55.5% (825)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Kopitar
Staal
P1
57.9%
54.5%
P2
54.5%
58.2%
P3
55.2%
54.1%
OT
57.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | OT | 02:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |