Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Staal 50.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Little
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Little
Staal
Last 10: Little 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
10
Little
Staal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
4
3
Little
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
49.7% (662)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
61.2% (103)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
44.3% (149)
+5.7%
On power play, Staal has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Little shoots right. Staal is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Little
Staal
Home
51.4% (420)
50.0% (446)
Away
50.9% (422)
50.2% (468)
By Period
Little
Staal
P1
50.4%
50.0%
P2
49.3%
49.5%
P3
53.8%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |