Chandler Stephenson vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Staal 54.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 55.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Stephenson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stephenson
Staal
Last 5: Stephenson 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Stephenson
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
56.1% (955)
-4.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
66.9% (142)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
43.0% (242)
-3.1%
On power play, Staal has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Staal
Home
53.1% (672)
55.4% (663)
Away
51.1% (554)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Stephenson
Staal
P1
54.6%
55.1%
P2
51.3%
54.7%
P3
51.2%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |