Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 48.8% vs Staal 55.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 65.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 80.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 72.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Kelly
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kelly
Staal
Last 5: Kelly 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Kelly
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Kelly
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (433)
56.6% (769)
-6.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
60.2% (98)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (99)
27.8% (18)
+17.7%
On power play, Staal has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Kelly shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Kelly
Staal
Home
53.9% (297)
57.8% (510)
Away
42.1% (242)
54.4% (375)
By Period
Kelly
Staal
P1
45.4%
55.1%
P2
46.1%
56.8%
P3
54.3%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |