Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 49.2% vs Staal 54.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 70.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 71.2%
Neutral zone
Helm 70.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Helm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Helm
Staal
Last 6: Helm 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Helm
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Helm
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (438)
55.3% (1,171)
-6.9%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
56.6% (173)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (80)
42.9% (133)
+5.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Helm is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Helm shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Home / Away
Helm
Staal
Home
47.1% (276)
54.7% (720)
Away
51.1% (272)
54.0% (757)
By Period
Helm
Staal
P1
47.9%
51.2%
P2
52.7%
57.4%
P3
46.2%
54.6%
OT
53.8%
52.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |