Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Brassard wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Staal 51.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 72.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 71.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 70.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Brassard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Brassard
Staal
Last 10: Brassard 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
Brassard
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
52.3% (790)
-7.2%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
54.4% (114)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
45.0% (218)
+5.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brassard is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Brassard shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Brassard
Staal
Home
45.4% (284)
54.9% (628)
Away
44.7% (333)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Brassard
Staal
P1
51.2%
50.3%
P2
40.3%
52.4%
P3
43.2%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |