Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Staal 57.3% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 90.9%
Defensive zone
Brassard 77.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 81.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Brassard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Brassard
Staal
Last 10: Brassard 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Brassard
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Brassard
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
7
Brassard
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
56.6% (1,075)
-7.7%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
66.7% (141)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
58.1% (179)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brassard is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Brassard shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Brassard
Staal
Home
50.9% (666)
57.7% (735)
Away
49.6% (680)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Brassard
Staal
P1
53.3%
61.8%
P2
47.5%
55.7%
P3
49.9%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |