Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.4%). Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Staal 54.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 60.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Brassard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brassard
Staal
Last 5: Brassard 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
54.2% (943)
+1.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
69.6% (79)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.8% (262)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brassard is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Brassard shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Brassard
Staal
Home
52.3% (174)
55.0% (593)
Away
57.9% (183)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Brassard
Staal
P1
47.1%
54.3%
P2
60.6%
53.5%
P3
57.4%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
58.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |