Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Voronkov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 43.2% vs Staal 57.6% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-2 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Voronkov 92.8%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 81.0%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 88.6%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Voronkov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
17
(19 meetings)
2
17
Voronkov
Staal
Last 10: Voronkov 1-9 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Voronkov
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
8
Voronkov
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
6
Voronkov
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (559)
58.9% (1,096)
-16.9%
Power Play
41.9% (93)
68.4% (57)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
51.8% (222)
+8.2%
On power play, Staal has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Voronkov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Voronkov shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Staal
Home
40.1% (332)
57.0% (646)
Away
44.3% (325)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Voronkov
Staal
P1
42.3%
55.9%
P2
43.6%
55.4%
P3
40.7%
62.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
42.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |