Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 51.7% vs Staal 56.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 76.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 55.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 67.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Thornton
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Thornton
Staal
Last 6: Thornton 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Thornton
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Thornton
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (372)
55.9% (1,016)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.6% (63)
68.0% (150)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.6% (172)
+9.4%
On power play, Staal has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Thornton is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Thornton shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Thornton
Staal
Home
51.2% (250)
57.2% (684)
Away
53.2% (190)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Thornton
Staal
P1
56.1%
53.0%
P2
52.8%
58.2%
P3
47.4%
58.9%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |