Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 51.0% vs Staal 57.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 85.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Larsson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Staal
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Larsson
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (696)
56.6% (1,075)
-5.3%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
66.7% (141)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
58.1% (179)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Larsson shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Larsson
Staal
Home
51.1% (356)
57.7% (735)
Away
51.1% (403)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Larsson
Staal
P1
54.6%
61.8%
P2
51.9%
55.7%
P3
46.7%
56.1%
OT
54.5%
56.8%
Final 5 min
51.2%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |